If the Internet can route v6 then what would be the problem with ARIN issuing v6 netblocks to new allocation requests. There goes the urgency. This may be an over simplification but why in hell would a large corporation go through the effort of converting from v4 to v6? Is there some ROI attached to that project? NOT.
The Internet will route v4 until, well, for so long it does not matter to discuss here. If v4 address space becomes exhausted and there is no globally routable alternative in place then the failure belongs to ARIN, IETF and a host of other entities whos efforts are to maintain order and standardization on the net.
How about trying to perfect 6 to 4 over the Internet first and issue v6 to new requests and if the request is from an agency unable to currently support v6 issue a minimal v4 block with a requirement to develop native v6 capability.
Thoughts and discussion are welcome on this.
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Application of the diffusion model is premature
The driver for deployment of IPv6 hasn't started yet; there really is no pressing driver for most enterprises to deploy until such time as IPv4 depletion has occurred. As such, attempting to apply an epidemic diffusion model at this point is premature.
There's extensive work in deploying IPv6, but it's inside the organizations most impacted by this event, such as the ISPs and content providers. The time to measure adoption is once these organizations need to use IPv6 for expansion of their public facing services.
/John
IPv6
If we used the conversion process model now in use for IPv6, we would still sitting around watching 10" Black and White screens on our home TVs.
Demand for essential changes in Telecommunications has always been pushing a rope up dry sleeve. Unless some force says "Enough Procrastination!". Consumers and Vendors will always find away to stop IPv6 because it may cost a few pennies.
Wars and Hunger have always forced change where complancy and laziness has slowed it.
The only way change to IPv6 is to set a date and make it happend.
Finally a brain among the responses
Can't agree more. ROI? No driver for this convertion? It's not deployment time yet? If their's no $ in it don't do it?
Their is $ in it if you want your site to remain on the Net to do business. This is a world wide market, not a US only Internet we a talking about. I guess we can test and deploy after the IPV4 addresses are all gone, great reactive plan!!
I like the set a date and make it happen!!!
I agree.
This is a seemingly sound idea.
IPV6 will ramp up sharply over the next three years
The US military buys an awful lot of bandwidth worldwide. They will be kicking out all ISPs from military bandwidth contracts if they do not offer IPV6. The different services have different cutoff dates ranging between 2009-2011. The killer app that is going to drive usage ends up being security improvements, not the larger address space.
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